Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Levante
35%
Draw
31%
Sevilla
34%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Levante, negative favours Sevilla) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Levante - Sevilla)+0.02
Expected total goals2.39
Expected goals Levante / Sevilla1.20 / 1.18
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.3% / 49.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.6%
Over 2.5 goals 42.7%
Over 3.5 goals 21.9%
First half
First-half result (Levante / draw / Sevilla)26.6% / 47.3% / 26.1%
A goal in the first half64.6%
Two or more in the first half30.4%
Half-time then full-time
Levante lead at half-time then Levante win20.5%
Level at half-time then draw20.3%
Sevilla lead at half-time then Sevilla win19.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Levante's side
Levante −2.010.3%
Levante −1.7513.0%
Levante −1.515.6%
Levante −1.2520.4%
Levante −1.025.2%
Levante −0.7530.1%
Levante −0.534.9%
Levante −0.2542.7%
Levante draw no bet (0.0)50.5%
Levante +0.2558.3%
Levante +0.566.1%
Levante +0.7570.8%
Levante +1.075.6%
Levante +1.585.1%
Levante +2.090.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Levante win2.86
Draw3.21
Sevilla win2.95
Over 2.52.34
Under 2.51.75
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Levante wins by more than 1 goals16%
Sevilla wins by more than 1 goals15%
Corners
Expected total corners9.4
6.5+ corners in the match46%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match57%