Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Coventry
28%
Draw
28%
Newcastle
43%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Coventry, negative favours Newcastle) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Coventry - Newcastle)-0.32
Expected total goals2.82
Expected goals Coventry / Newcastle1.25 / 1.57
Both teams to score (yes / no)58.3% / 41.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.1%
Over 2.5 goals 53.6%
Over 3.5 goals 31.3%
First half
First-half result (Coventry / draw / Newcastle)23.5% / 43.9% / 32.6%
A goal in the first half70.2%
Two or more in the first half38.0%
Half-time then full-time
Newcastle lead at half-time then Newcastle win26.4%
Level at half-time then draw17.4%
Coventry lead at half-time then Coventry win16.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Coventry's side
Coventry −2.08.5%
Coventry −1.7510.6%
Coventry −1.512.8%
Coventry −1.2516.7%
Coventry −1.020.6%
Coventry −0.7524.6%
Coventry −0.528.5%
Coventry −0.2535.6%
Coventry draw no bet (0.0)42.7%
Coventry +0.2549.8%
Coventry +0.556.9%
Coventry +0.7562.0%
Coventry +1.067.0%
Coventry +1.577.2%
Coventry +2.084.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Coventry win3.51
Draw3.52
Newcastle win2.32
Over 2.51.87
Under 2.52.15
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Coventry wins by more than 1 goals13%
Newcastle wins by more than 1 goals23%