Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Torino
40%
Draw
31%
Udinese
29%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Torino, negative favours Udinese) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Torino - Udinese)+0.22
Expected total goals2.37
Expected goals Torino / Udinese1.30 / 1.07
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.6% / 50.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.3%
Over 2.5 goals 42.2%
Over 3.5 goals 21.5%
First half
First-half result (Torino / draw / Udinese)29.5% / 47.5% / 22.9%
A goal in the first half64.2%
Two or more in the first half30.2%
Half-time then full-time
Torino lead at half-time then Torino win23.7%
Level at half-time then draw20.5%
Udinese lead at half-time then Udinese win16.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Torino's side
Torino −2.012.7%
Torino −1.7515.8%
Torino −1.518.8%
Torino −1.2524.1%
Torino −1.029.3%
Torino −0.7534.5%
Torino −0.539.8%
Torino −0.2547.6%
Torino draw no bet (0.0)55.4%
Torino +0.2563.2%
Torino +0.571.0%
Torino +0.7575.3%
Torino +1.079.6%
Torino +1.588.1%
Torino +2.092.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Torino win2.51
Draw3.20
Udinese win3.45
Over 2.52.37
Under 2.51.73
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Torino wins by more than 1 goals19%
Udinese wins by more than 1 goals12%
Corners
Expected total corners9.1
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%