UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun prediction

3 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun (Champions League), 29/07/2026, finished 3-2: Dinamo Zagreb won. Before the match Jarvis gave Dinamo Zagreb 71%, the draw 18% and Thun 11%; the actual result had a 71% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Next for Dinamo Zagreb: NEC Nijmegen (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Dinamo Zagreb

71%

Draw

18%

Thun

11%

Actual result: Dinamo Zagreb 3 – 2 Thun · Dinamo Zagreb winJarvis gave this outcome: 71% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Dinamo Zagreb, negative favours Thun) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Dinamo Zagreb - Thun)+1.53

Expected total goals3.18

Expected goals Dinamo Zagreb / Thun2.35 / 0.82

Both teams to score (yes / no)51.1% / 48.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 82.9%

Over 2.5 goals 61.5%

Over 3.5 goals 39.2%

First half

First-half result (Dinamo Zagreb / draw / Thun)52.5% / 35.0% / 12.5%

A goal in the first half75.7%

Two or more in the first half42.2%

Half-time then full-time

Dinamo Zagreb lead at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win48.3%

Level at half-time then Dinamo Zagreb win20.1%

Level at half-time then draw10.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Dinamo Zagreb's side

Dinamo Zagreb −2.038.0%

Dinamo Zagreb −1.7543.2%

Dinamo Zagreb −1.548.5%

Dinamo Zagreb −1.2554.2%

Dinamo Zagreb −1.059.8%

Dinamo Zagreb −0.7565.5%

Dinamo Zagreb −0.571.2%

Dinamo Zagreb −0.2575.6%

Dinamo Zagreb draw no bet (0.0)80.0%

Dinamo Zagreb +0.2584.5%

Dinamo Zagreb +0.588.9%

Dinamo Zagreb +0.7590.8%

Dinamo Zagreb +1.092.8%

Dinamo Zagreb +1.596.7%

Dinamo Zagreb +2.097.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Dinamo Zagreb win1.40

Draw5.65

Thun win9.00

Over 2.51.63

Under 2.52.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Dinamo Zagreb wins by more than 1 goals48%

Thun wins by more than 1 goals3%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Dinamo Zagreb

vs NEC NijmegenThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Sunderland (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 29/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.