UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat Armenia prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat Armenia (Champions League), 29/07/2026, finished 2-1: Shamrock Rovers won. Before the match Jarvis gave Shamrock Rovers 59%, the draw 24% and Ararat Armenia 18%; the actual result had a 59% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Next for Ararat Armenia: AZ Alkmaar (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Shamrock Rovers

59%

Draw

24%

Ararat Armenia

18%

Actual result: Shamrock Rovers 2 – 1 Ararat Armenia · Shamrock Rovers winJarvis gave this outcome: 59% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Shamrock Rovers, negative favours Ararat Armenia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Shamrock Rovers - Ararat Armenia)+0.92

Expected total goals2.69

Expected goals Shamrock Rovers / Ararat Armenia1.80 / 0.89

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.5% / 50.5%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.3%

Over 2.5 goals 50.4%

Over 3.5 goals 28.4%

First half

First-half result (Shamrock Rovers / draw / Ararat Armenia)42.5% / 40.9% / 16.6%

A goal in the first half69.9%

Two or more in the first half34.5%

Half-time then full-time

Shamrock Rovers lead at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win37.2%

Level at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win19.1%

Level at half-time then draw14.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Shamrock Rovers's side

Shamrock Rovers −2.024.9%

Shamrock Rovers −1.7529.4%

Shamrock Rovers −1.534.0%

Shamrock Rovers −1.2540.1%

Shamrock Rovers −1.046.3%

Shamrock Rovers −0.7552.5%

Shamrock Rovers −0.558.6%

Shamrock Rovers −0.2564.5%

Shamrock Rovers draw no bet (0.0)70.4%

Shamrock Rovers +0.2576.3%

Shamrock Rovers +0.582.2%

Shamrock Rovers +0.7585.2%

Shamrock Rovers +1.088.2%

Shamrock Rovers +1.594.1%

Shamrock Rovers +2.096.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Shamrock Rovers win1.71

Draw4.24

Ararat Armenia win5.62

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.52.02

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Shamrock Rovers wins by more than 1 goals34%

Ararat Armenia wins by more than 1 goals6%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ararat Armenia

vs AZ AlkmaarThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Torreense (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 29/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.