UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

NK Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhine prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

NK Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhine (Champions League), 29/07/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave NK Celje 66%, the draw 21% and Egnatia Rrogozhine 13%; the actual result had a 21% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Next for NK Celje: RB Salzburg (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

NK Celje

66%

Draw

21%

Egnatia Rrogozhine

13%

Actual result: NK Celje 2 – 2 Egnatia Rrogozhine · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 21%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours NK Celje, negative favours Egnatia Rrogozhine) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (NK Celje - Egnatia Rrogozhine)+1.29

Expected total goals3.12

Expected goals NK Celje / Egnatia Rrogozhine2.21 / 0.91

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.2% / 45.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 82.7%

Over 2.5 goals 60.3%

Over 3.5 goals 38.0%

First half

First-half result (NK Celje / draw / Egnatia Rrogozhine)48.3% / 37.6% / 14.0%

A goal in the first half74.5%

Two or more in the first half42.0%

Half-time then full-time

NK Celje lead at half-time then NK Celje win43.8%

Level at half-time then NK Celje win19.9%

Level at half-time then draw12.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from NK Celje's side

NK Celje −2.033.3%

NK Celje −1.7538.3%

NK Celje −1.543.3%

NK Celje −1.2548.9%

NK Celje −1.054.6%

NK Celje −0.7560.2%

NK Celje −0.565.9%

NK Celje −0.2571.1%

NK Celje draw no bet (0.0)76.2%

NK Celje +0.2581.4%

NK Celje +0.586.6%

NK Celje +0.7588.8%

NK Celje +1.091.0%

NK Celje +1.595.4%

NK Celje +2.097.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

NK Celje win1.52

Draw4.83

Egnatia Rrogozhine win7.45

Over 2.51.66

Under 2.52.52

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

NK Celje wins by more than 1 goals43%

Egnatia Rrogozhine wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

NK Celje

vs RB SalzburgFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs SK Sturm Graz (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 29/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.