UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

FC Sabah vs The New Saints prediction

2 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

FC Sabah vs The New Saints (Champions League), 07/07/2026, finished 2-0: FC Sabah won. Before the match Jarvis gave FC Sabah 81%, the draw 13% and The New Saints 6%; the actual result had a 81% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
FC Sabah
81%
Draw
13%
The New Saints
6%
Actual result: FC Sabah 2 – 0 The New Saints · FC Sabah winJarvis gave this outcome: 81% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Sabah, negative favours The New Saints) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Sabah - The New Saints)+2.02
Expected total goals3.17
Expected goals FC Sabah / The New Saints2.60 / 0.58
Both teams to score (yes / no)40.6% / 59.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.5%
Over 2.5 goals 61.5%
Over 3.5 goals 39.2%
First half
First-half result (FC Sabah / draw / The New Saints)60.0% / 31.8% / 8.2%
A goal in the first half76.0%
Two or more in the first half41.8%
Half-time then full-time
FC Sabah lead at half-time then FC Sabah win57.2%
Level at half-time then FC Sabah win20.9%
Level at half-time then draw8.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Sabah's side
FC Sabah −2.048.1%
FC Sabah −1.7553.7%
FC Sabah −1.559.4%
FC Sabah −1.2564.7%
FC Sabah −1.070.1%
FC Sabah −0.7575.4%
FC Sabah −0.580.7%
FC Sabah −0.2584.0%
FC Sabah draw no bet (0.0)87.3%
FC Sabah +0.2590.6%
FC Sabah +0.593.9%
FC Sabah +0.7595.1%
FC Sabah +1.096.3%
FC Sabah +1.598.7%
FC Sabah +2.099.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Sabah win1.24
Draw7.58
The New Saints win16.45
Over 2.51.63
Under 2.52.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
FC Sabah wins by more than 1 goals59%
The New Saints wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Borussia DortmundTue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs VIKING FK (away)Thu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 07/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Champions League table, latest

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