FIFA World Cup
Argentina vs Egypt prediction
Argentina
3 – 2
Full-time
Egypt
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Argentina
72%
Draw
20%
Egypt
8%
Actual result: Argentina 3 – 2 Egypt · Argentina winJarvis gave this outcome: 72% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Argentina, negative favours Egypt) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Argentina - Egypt)+1.50
Expected total goals2.53
Expected goals Argentina / Egypt2.01 / 0.52
Both teams to score (yes / no)35.5% / 64.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.4%
Over 2.5 goals 46.3%
Over 3.5 goals 24.8%
First half
First-half result (Argentina / draw / Egypt)51.2% / 40.0% / 8.8%
A goal in the first half67.5%
Two or more in the first half31.9%
Half-time then full-time
Argentina ahead then Argentina win48.1%
level then Argentina win22.7%
level then draw13.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Argentina
Argentina give 2 trái (−2.0)35.7%
Argentina give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)41.3%
Argentina give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)46.9%
Argentina give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)53.3%
Argentina give 1 trái (−1.0)59.7%
Argentina give 3/4 trái (−0.75)66.0%
Argentina give nửa trái (−0.5)72.4%
Argentina give 1/4 trái (−0.25)77.3%
Level ball (0.0)82.2%
Argentina receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)87.2%
Argentina receive nửa trái (+0.5)92.1%
Argentina receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)93.7%
Argentina receive 1 trái (+1.0)95.2%
Argentina receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)98.3%
Argentina receive 2 trái (+2.0)99.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Argentina win1.38
Draw5.07
Egypt win12.69
Over 2.52.16
Under 2.51.86
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Argentina wins by more than 1 goals47%
Egypt wins by more than 1 goals2%
Corners
Expected total corners8.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards2.8
2.5+ cards in the match53%