UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

FC Vaduz vs Atletic Club Escaldes prediction

4 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

FC Vaduz vs Atletic Club Escaldes (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 24/07/2026, finished 4-0: FC Vaduz won. Before the match Jarvis gave FC Vaduz 75%, the draw 15% and Atletic Club Escaldes 9%; the actual result had a 75% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
FC Vaduz
75%
Draw
15%
Atletic Club Escaldes
9%
Actual result: FC Vaduz 4 – 0 Atletic Club Escaldes · FC Vaduz winJarvis gave this outcome: 75% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Vaduz, negative favours Atletic Club Escaldes) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Vaduz - Atletic Club Escaldes)+1.68
Expected total goals3.01
Expected goals FC Vaduz / Atletic Club Escaldes2.35 / 0.67
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.5% / 56.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.8%
Over 2.5 goals 57.9%
Over 3.5 goals 35.5%
First half
First-half result (FC Vaduz / draw / Atletic Club Escaldes)55.4% / 33.7% / 10.9%
A goal in the first half74.7%
Two or more in the first half38.8%
Half-time then full-time
FC Vaduz lead at half-time then FC Vaduz win51.6%
Level at half-time then FC Vaduz win20.5%
Level at half-time then draw9.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Vaduz's side
FC Vaduz −2.040.7%
FC Vaduz −1.7546.3%
FC Vaduz −1.551.8%
FC Vaduz −1.2557.7%
FC Vaduz −1.063.6%
FC Vaduz −0.7569.6%
FC Vaduz −0.575.5%
FC Vaduz −0.2579.3%
FC Vaduz draw no bet (0.0)83.1%
FC Vaduz +0.2587.0%
FC Vaduz +0.590.8%
FC Vaduz +0.7592.5%
FC Vaduz +1.094.3%
FC Vaduz +1.597.8%
FC Vaduz +2.098.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Vaduz win1.33
Draw6.53
Atletic Club Escaldes win10.85
Over 2.51.73
Under 2.52.38

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
FC Vaduz wins by more than 1 goals52%
Atletic Club Escaldes wins by more than 1 goals2%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 24/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.