UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers prediction

2 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers (Champions League), 08/07/2026, finished 2-0: Floriana won. Before the match Jarvis gave Floriana 22%, the draw 28% and Shamrock Rovers 50%; the actual result had a 22% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Floriana

22%

Draw

28%

Shamrock Rovers

50%

Actual result: Floriana 2 – 0 Shamrock Rovers · Floriana winJarvis gave this outcome: 22%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Floriana, negative favours Shamrock Rovers) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Floriana - Shamrock Rovers)-0.59

Expected total goals2.33

Expected goals Floriana / Shamrock Rovers0.87 / 1.46

Both teams to score (yes / no)45.4% / 54.6%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 68.4%

Over 2.5 goals 41.2%

Over 3.5 goals 20.7%

First half

First-half result (Floriana / draw / Shamrock Rovers)18.3% / 45.8% / 35.9%

A goal in the first half64.4%

Two or more in the first half28.8%

Half-time then full-time

Shamrock Rovers lead at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win30.6%

Level at half-time then draw18.7%

Level at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win18.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Floriana's side

Floriana −2.04.6%

Floriana −1.755.9%

Floriana −1.57.3%

Floriana −1.2510.9%

Floriana −1.014.5%

Floriana −0.7518.0%

Floriana −0.521.6%

Floriana −0.2528.7%

Floriana draw no bet (0.0)35.7%

Floriana +0.2542.7%

Floriana +0.549.8%

Floriana +0.7555.9%

Floriana +1.062.1%

Floriana +1.574.4%

Floriana +2.082.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Floriana win4.63

Draw3.55

Shamrock Rovers win1.99

Over 2.52.43

Under 2.51.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Floriana wins by more than 1 goals7%

Shamrock Rovers wins by more than 1 goals26%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 08/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.