UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Gyori prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Gyori (Champions League), 08/07/2026, finished 1-0: Vikingur Reykjavik won. Before the match Jarvis gave Vikingur Reykjavik 36%, the draw 27% and Gyori 37%; the actual result had a 36% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Vikingur Reykjavik

36%

Draw

27%

Gyori

37%

Actual result: Vikingur Reykjavik 1 – 0 Gyori · Vikingur Reykjavik winJarvis gave this outcome: 36%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Vikingur Reykjavik, negative favours Gyori) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori)-0.04

Expected total goals3.09

Expected goals Vikingur Reykjavik / Gyori1.53 / 1.56

Both teams to score (yes / no)63.6% / 36.4%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 83.1%

Over 2.5 goals 59.6%

Over 3.5 goals 37.3%

First half

First-half result (Vikingur Reykjavik / draw / Gyori)28.4% / 42.3% / 29.3%

A goal in the first half73.2%

Two or more in the first half42.4%

Half-time then full-time

Gyori lead at half-time then Gyori win22.4%

Vikingur Reykjavik lead at half-time then Vikingur Reykjavik win21.4%

Level at half-time then draw16.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Vikingur Reykjavik's side

Vikingur Reykjavik −2.012.5%

Vikingur Reykjavik −1.7515.2%

Vikingur Reykjavik −1.518.0%

Vikingur Reykjavik −1.2522.4%

Vikingur Reykjavik −1.026.8%

Vikingur Reykjavik −0.7531.2%

Vikingur Reykjavik −0.535.5%

Vikingur Reykjavik −0.2542.4%

Vikingur Reykjavik draw no bet (0.0)49.2%

Vikingur Reykjavik +0.2556.1%

Vikingur Reykjavik +0.562.9%

Vikingur Reykjavik +0.7567.4%

Vikingur Reykjavik +1.071.9%

Vikingur Reykjavik +1.580.9%

Vikingur Reykjavik +2.086.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Vikingur Reykjavik win2.81

Draw3.65

Gyori win2.70

Over 2.51.68

Under 2.52.48

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Vikingur Reykjavik wins by more than 1 goals18%

Gyori wins by more than 1 goals19%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 08/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.