FIFA World Cup
Switzerland vs Colombia prediction
Switzerland
0 – 0
Full-time
Colombia
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Switzerland
26%
Draw
33%
Colombia
41%
Actual result: Switzerland 0 – 0 Colombia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 33%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Switzerland, negative favours Colombia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Switzerland - Colombia)-0.31
Expected total goals2.28
Expected goals Switzerland / Colombia0.99 / 1.30
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.1% / 51.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 69.0%
Over 2.5 goals 40.0%
Over 3.5 goals 19.7%
First half
First-half result (Switzerland / draw / Colombia)20.7% / 49.2% / 30.0%
A goal in the first half62.4%
Two or more in the first half29.2%
Half-time then full-time
Colombia ahead then Colombia win24.8%
level then draw22.1%
level then Colombia win16.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Switzerland
Switzerland give 2 trái (−2.0)6.6%
Switzerland give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)8.4%
Switzerland give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)10.3%
Switzerland give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)14.2%
Switzerland give 1 trái (−1.0)18.1%
Switzerland give 3/4 trái (−0.75)22.0%
Switzerland give nửa trái (−0.5)25.8%
Switzerland give 1/4 trái (−0.25)34.1%
Level ball (0.0)42.4%
Switzerland receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)50.6%
Switzerland receive nửa trái (+0.5)58.9%
Switzerland receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)64.2%
Switzerland receive 1 trái (+1.0)69.5%
Switzerland receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)80.1%
Switzerland receive 2 trái (+2.0)86.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Switzerland win3.87
Draw3.03
Colombia win2.43
Over 2.52.50
Under 2.51.67
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Switzerland wins by more than 1 goals10%
Colombia wins by more than 1 goals20%
Corners
Expected total corners8.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match58%