UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Vardar Skopje vs KuPS prediction

Vardar Skopje

0 – 2

Full-time

KuPS

Match summary

Vardar Skopje vs KuPS (Champions League), 08/07/2026, finished 0-2: KuPS won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Vardar Skopje

44%

Draw

29%

KuPS

27%

Actual result: Vardar Skopje 0 – 2 KuPS · KuPS winJarvis gave this outcome: 27%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Vardar Skopje, negative favours KuPS) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Vardar Skopje - KuPS)+0.37

Expected total goals2.53

Expected goals Vardar Skopje / KuPS1.45 / 1.08

Both teams to score (yes / no)51.9% / 48.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 73.3%

Over 2.5 goals 46.4%

Over 3.5 goals 24.9%

First half

First-half result (Vardar Skopje / draw / KuPS)32.7% / 45.3% / 22.0%

A goal in the first half66.8%

Two or more in the first half32.6%

Half-time then full-time

Vardar Skopje lead at half-time then Vardar Skopje win26.8%

Level at half-time then draw18.5%

Level at half-time then Vardar Skopje win16.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Vardar Skopje's side

Vardar Skopje −2.015.5%

Vardar Skopje −1.7518.9%

Vardar Skopje −1.522.3%

Vardar Skopje −1.2527.8%

Vardar Skopje −1.033.3%

Vardar Skopje −0.7538.7%

Vardar Skopje −0.544.2%

Vardar Skopje −0.2551.5%

Vardar Skopje draw no bet (0.0)58.7%

Vardar Skopje +0.2566.0%

Vardar Skopje +0.573.3%

Vardar Skopje +0.7577.2%

Vardar Skopje +1.081.2%

Vardar Skopje +1.589.2%

Vardar Skopje +2.093.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Vardar Skopje win2.26

Draw3.44

KuPS win3.74

Over 2.52.16

Under 2.51.86

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Vardar Skopje wins by more than 1 goals22%

KuPS wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 08/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.