English Premier League

Fulham vs Chelsea prediction

2 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

Fulham vs Chelsea (Premier League), 25/08/2026, finished 2-3: Chelsea won. Before the match Jarvis gave Fulham 23%, the draw 27% and Chelsea 50%; the actual result had a 50% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Fulham

23%

Draw

27%

Chelsea

50%

Actual result: Fulham 2 – 3 Chelsea · Chelsea winJarvis gave this outcome: 50% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Fulham, negative favours Chelsea) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Fulham - Chelsea)-0.59

Expected total goals2.75

Expected goals Fulham / Chelsea1.08 / 1.67

Both teams to score (yes / no)54.7% / 45.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 77.1%

Over 2.5 goals 51.7%

Over 3.5 goals 29.6%

First half

First-half result (Fulham / draw / Chelsea)20.3% / 42.9% / 36.9%

A goal in the first half69.8%

Two or more in the first half36.1%

Half-time then full-time

Chelsea lead at half-time then Chelsea win31.0%

Level at half-time then Chelsea win17.3%

Level at half-time then draw16.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Fulham's side

Fulham −2.06.0%

Fulham −1.757.6%

Fulham −1.59.2%

Fulham −1.2512.8%

Fulham −1.016.3%

Fulham −0.7519.8%

Fulham −0.523.4%

Fulham −0.2530.0%

Fulham draw no bet (0.0)36.7%

Fulham +0.2543.4%

Fulham +0.550.1%

Fulham +0.7555.7%

Fulham +1.061.3%

Fulham +1.572.6%

Fulham +2.080.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Fulham win4.28

Draw3.74

Chelsea win2.00

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.52.07

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Fulham wins by more than 1 goals9%

Chelsea wins by more than 1 goals27%

Corners

Expected total corners10.2

6.5+ corners in the match44%

Cards

Expected total cards4.2

2.5+ cards in the match41%