UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

FC Sabah vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

5 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

FC Sabah vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (Champions League), 25/08/2026, finished 5-2: FC Sabah won. Before the match Jarvis gave FC Sabah 51%, the draw 26% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 23%; the actual result had a 51% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 7 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
FC Sabah
51%
Draw
26%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
23%
Actual result: FC Sabah 5 – 2 Hapoel Beer Sheva · FC Sabah winJarvis gave this outcome: 51% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours FC Sabah, negative favours Hapoel Beer Sheva) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (FC Sabah - Hapoel Beer Sheva)+0.60
Expected total goals2.67
Expected goals FC Sabah / Hapoel Beer Sheva1.64 / 1.03
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.4% / 47.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.1%
Over 2.5 goals 49.9%
Over 3.5 goals 27.9%
First half
First-half result (FC Sabah / draw / Hapoel Beer Sheva)37.5% / 42.2% / 20.3%
A goal in the first half69.4%
Two or more in the first half34.2%
Half-time then full-time
FC Sabah lead at half-time then FC Sabah win31.4%
Level at half-time then FC Sabah win17.3%
Level at half-time then draw15.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from FC Sabah's side
FC Sabah −2.019.5%
FC Sabah −1.7523.5%
FC Sabah −1.527.4%
FC Sabah −1.2533.3%
FC Sabah −1.039.2%
FC Sabah −0.7545.0%
FC Sabah −0.550.9%
FC Sabah −0.2557.3%
FC Sabah draw no bet (0.0)63.8%
FC Sabah +0.2570.2%
FC Sabah +0.576.6%
FC Sabah +0.7580.3%
FC Sabah +1.083.9%
FC Sabah +1.591.3%
FC Sabah +2.094.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
FC Sabah win1.96
Draw3.89
Hapoel Beer Sheva win4.28
Over 2.52.01
Under 2.51.99

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
FC Sabah wins by more than 1 goals27%
Hapoel Beer Sheva wins by more than 1 goals9%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Borussia DortmundTue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs VIKING FK (away)Thu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 25/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

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