US MLS

Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire prediction

3 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire (US MLS), 23/07/2026, finished 3-2: Inter Miami CF won. Before the match Jarvis gave Inter Miami CF 40%, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire 35%; the actual result had a 40% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Inter Miami CF
40%
Draw
24%
Chicago Fire
35%
Actual result: Inter Miami CF 3 – 2 Chicago Fire · Inter Miami CF winJarvis gave this outcome: 40% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Inter Miami CF, negative favours Chicago Fire) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Inter Miami CF - Chicago Fire)+0.12
Expected total goals3.63
Expected goals Inter Miami CF / Chicago Fire1.88 / 1.75
Both teams to score (yes / no)71.2% / 28.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 89.0%
Over 2.5 goals 70.2%
Over 3.5 goals 49.1%
First half
First-half result (Inter Miami CF / draw / Chicago Fire)32.3% / 38.6% / 29.2%
A goal in the first half78.6%
Two or more in the first half50.4%
Half-time then full-time
Inter Miami CF lead at half-time then Inter Miami CF win24.8%
Chicago Fire lead at half-time then Chicago Fire win21.4%
Level at half-time then draw13.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Inter Miami CF's side
Inter Miami CF −2.016.3%
Inter Miami CF −1.7519.4%
Inter Miami CF −1.522.5%
Inter Miami CF −1.2526.9%
Inter Miami CF −1.031.4%
Inter Miami CF −0.7535.9%
Inter Miami CF −0.540.4%
Inter Miami CF −0.2546.4%
Inter Miami CF draw no bet (0.0)52.5%
Inter Miami CF +0.2558.5%
Inter Miami CF +0.564.6%
Inter Miami CF +0.7568.8%
Inter Miami CF +1.072.9%
Inter Miami CF +1.581.2%
Inter Miami CF +2.086.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Inter Miami CF win2.48
Draw4.12
Chicago Fire win2.83
Over 2.51.42
Under 2.53.36

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Inter Miami CF wins by more than 1 goals22%
Chicago Fire wins by more than 1 goals19%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 23/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.