UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Qarabag FK vs CSKA Sofia prediction

0 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Qarabag FK vs CSKA Sofia (Europa League), 23/07/2026, finished 0-0: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Qarabag FK 64%, the draw 23% and CSKA Sofia 13%; the actual result had a 23% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 0 goals; Jarvis expected 2.6.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Qarabag FK

64%

Draw

23%

CSKA Sofia

13%

Actual result: Qarabag FK 0 – 0 CSKA Sofia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 23%

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Qarabag FK, negative favours CSKA Sofia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Qarabag FK - CSKA Sofia)+1.16

Expected total goals2.63

Expected goals Qarabag FK / CSKA Sofia1.90 / 0.74

Market-standard price (decimal)

Qarabag FK win1.56

Draw4.44

CSKA Sofia win7.57

Over 2.52.04

Under 2.51.96

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals48.9%

Over 3.5 goals27.1%

Over 1.5 goals74.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Qarabag FK's side

Qarabag FK −1.051.7%

Qarabag FK −1.2545.5%

Qarabag FK −0.7558.0%

Qarabag FK −1.539.2%

Qarabag FK −0.564.3%

Qarabag FK −1.7534.2%

Qarabag FK −0.2569.9%

Qarabag FK −2.029.2%

Qarabag FK draw no bet (0.0)75.5%

Qarabag FK +0.2581.2%

Qarabag FK +0.586.8%

Qarabag FK +0.7589.1%

Qarabag FK +1.091.5%

Qarabag FK +1.596.2%

Qarabag FK +2.097.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Qarabag FK wins by more than 1 goals39%

CSKA Sofia wins by more than 1 goals4%

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.9% / 55.1%

First half

First-half result (Qarabag FK / draw / CSKA Sofia)45.9% / 40.9% / 13.2%

A goal in the first half68.9%

Two or more in the first half33.7%

Half-time then full-time

Qarabag FK lead at half-time then Qarabag FK win41.6%

Level at half-time then Qarabag FK win20.7%

Level at half-time then draw14.6%

Other matches on 23/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.