Match summary
Leganes vs Cordoba (Spanish Segunda Division), 17/10/2026, finished 0-1: Cordoba won. Before the match Jarvis gave Leganes 38%, the draw 30% and Cordoba 32%; the actual result had a 32% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.6.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Leganes
38%
Draw
30%
Cordoba
32%
Actual result: Leganes 0 – 1 Cordoba · Cordoba winJarvis gave this outcome: 32%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Leganes, negative favours Cordoba) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Leganes - Cordoba)+0.14
Expected total goals2.58
Expected goals Leganes / Cordoba1.36 / 1.22
Both teams to score (yes / no)54.5% / 45.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.9%
Over 2.5 goals 47.7%
Over 3.5 goals 26.0%
First half
First-half result (Leganes / draw / Cordoba)29.0% / 46.1% / 25.0%
A goal in the first half67.0%
Two or more in the first half34.0%
Half-time then full-time
Leganes lead at half-time then Leganes win22.8%
Level at half-time then draw19.3%
Cordoba lead at half-time then Cordoba win18.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Leganes's side
Leganes −2.012.6%
Leganes −1.7515.5%
Leganes −1.518.5%
Leganes −1.2523.4%
Leganes −1.028.3%
Leganes −0.7533.1%
Leganes −0.538.0%
Leganes −0.2545.6%
Leganes draw no bet (0.0)53.2%
Leganes +0.2560.9%
Leganes +0.568.5%
Leganes +0.7572.8%
Leganes +1.077.1%
Leganes +1.585.8%
Leganes +2.090.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Leganes win2.63
Draw3.29
Cordoba win3.17
Over 2.52.10
Under 2.51.91
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Leganes wins by more than 1 goals18%
Cordoba wins by more than 1 goals14%
Probability trajectory · full match
Match events
- 63′SubstitutionAlvaro Morata on, Patrick Soko off
- 63′SubstitutionEnric Franquesa on, Naim Garcia off
- 63′SubstitutionDani Rodriguez on, Ismael Gharbi off
- 70′Yellow cardAlvaro Morata
- 71′SubstitutionVictor Sanchez Morales on, Diego Percan off
- 71′Yellow cardAlex Millan
- 72′Yellow cardYassine Kechta
- 76′Yellow cardAlex Martin
- 78′SubstitutionSalim El Jebari on, Diego Bri off
- 82′SubstitutionRuben Pena on, Alvaro Tejero off
- 82′SubstitutionSuleiman El Haddadi Mohamed on, Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez off
- 83′GoalEder Garcia (assist: Cristian Carracedo)
- 89′Yellow cardVictor Sanchez Morales
- 90′SubstitutionTheo Zidane on, Eder Garcia off
- 90′SubstitutionCarlos Albarran on, Cristian Carracedo off
- 90′SubstitutionDamian Caceres Rodriguez on, Adnane Ghailan Benktib off
- 90+1′Red cardAlvaro Morata
Match statistics
LeganesCordoba
42Possession58
0.79Expected goals (xG)2.11
9Total shots20
2Shots on target3
4Corners7
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
1Offsides3
2Saves2
77Pass accuracy (%)84
Player ratings
| 8.2 | Eder Garcia · Cordoba | 1 goal |
| 7.7 | Cristian Carracedo · Cordoba | 1 assist |
| 7.2 | Isma Ruiz · Cordoba | |
| 7.2 | Daniel Budesca · Cordoba | |
| 7.1 | Juan Gutierrez · Cordoba | |
| 6.9 | Ignasi Miquel · Leganes |
Leganes vs Cordoba lineups
LeganesFormation 3-4-2-1Coach: Ruben Albes
| 13 | L. Zidane | GK |
| 4 | Ruben Pulido | DF |
| 5 | Ignasi Miquel | DF |
| 3 | Javi Montero | DF |
| 23 | Alvaro Tejero | MF |
| 8 | Y. Kechta | MF |
| 10 | Z. Buurmeester | MF |
| 11 | Naim Garcia | MF |
| 22 | Alex Sancris | MF |
| 17 | Ismael Gharbi | MF |
| 19 | P. Soko | FW |
| 18 | Andres Campos | FW |
| 9 | Alex Millan | FW |
| 6 | Lalo Aguilar | DF |
| 24 | A. Diawara | MF |
| 32 | Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed | FW |
| 1 | Raul Fernandez | GK |
| 15 | Enric Franquesa | DF |
| 31 | Nico Lozano | GK |
| 21 | Alvaro Morata | FW |
| 7 | Ruben Pena | DF |
| 14 | Dani Rodriguez | MF |
| 16 | U. del Cura | FW |
CordobaFormation 4-3-3Coach: Ivan Ania
| 1 | Iker Alvarez | GK |
| 30 | Daniel Budesca | DF |
| 5 | Juan Gutierrez | DF |
| 4 | Alex Martin | DF |
| 3 | Dani Tasende | DF |
| 28 | Eder Garcia | MF |
| 8 | Isma Ruiz | MF |
| 14 | Adnane Ghailan | MF |
| 23 | Cristian Carracedo | FW |
| 9 | Percan | FW |
| 11 | Diego Bri | FW |
| 21 | Carlos Albarran | DF |
| 6 | D. Caceres | MF |
| 24 | S. El Jebari | FW |
| 38 | Borja Garcia Criado | MF |
| 16 | Ruben Alves | DF |
| 20 | Nelson Monte | DF |
| 27 | Egoitz Munoz | DF |
| 18 | Enol Rodriguez | FW |
| 19 | Ibai Sanz | FW |
| 13 | Guilherme Fernandes | GK |
| 15 | V. Sanchez | FW |
| 7 | T. Zidane | MF |
Leganes vs Cordoba team form
LeganesLLLWL| 11/10/2026 | Almeria (away) | 0–3 |
| 03/10/2026 | Cadiz (away) | 0–4 |
| 28/09/2026 | Castellon (home) | 0–2 |
| 20/09/2026 | Granada CF (home) | 3–2 |
| 13/09/2026 | Tenerife (away) | 0–2 |
CordobaLWLWL| 10/10/2026 | Eldense (away) | 1–2 |
| 05/10/2026 | Tenerife (home) | 3–2 |
| 27/09/2026 | Valladolid (away) | 1–3 |
| 18/09/2026 | Albacete (away) | 2–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Almeria (home) | 0–2 |
Leganes vs Cordoba head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 2 meetings: Leganes won 0, drew 1, lost 1. Leganes scored 1 and conceded 2 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | Cordoba | 2–1 | Leganes |
| 07/12/2025 | Leganes | 0–0 | Cordoba |
Match information
- Referee
- Eder Mallo Fernandez
- Venue
- Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
- Round
- 10
Other matches on 17/10 (GMT+7)
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Koln01:30 · Bundesliga1–0
- Frosinone vs Sassuolo01:45 · Serie A4–2
- Le Mans vs Toulouse01:45 · Ligue 10–3
- Deportivo vs Levante02:00 · La Liga1–1
- Everton vs Chelsea18:30 · Premier League30% / 27% / 43%
- Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid19:00 · La Liga19% / 25% / 57%
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.