Mexican Liga MX

Monterrey vs FC Juarez prediction

6 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Monterrey vs FC Juarez (Mexican Liga MX), 16/08/2026, finished 6-1: Monterrey won. Before the match Jarvis gave Monterrey 61%, the draw 21% and FC Juarez 18%; the actual result had a 61% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 7 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Monterrey

61%

Draw

21%

FC Juarez

18%

Actual result: Monterrey 6 – 1 FC Juarez · Monterrey winJarvis gave this outcome: 61% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Monterrey, negative favours FC Juarez) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Monterrey - FC Juarez)+1.07

Expected total goals3.24

Expected goals Monterrey / FC Juarez2.16 / 1.09

Both teams to score (yes / no)59.3% / 40.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.1%

Over 2.5 goals 62.9%

Over 3.5 goals 40.7%

First half

First-half result (Monterrey / draw / FC Juarez)45.5% / 37.2% / 17.3%

A goal in the first half76.0%

Two or more in the first half43.6%

Half-time then full-time

Monterrey lead at half-time then Monterrey win39.9%

Level at half-time then Monterrey win18.4%

Level at half-time then draw12.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Monterrey's side

Monterrey −2.029.5%

Monterrey −1.7534.1%

Monterrey −1.538.8%

Monterrey −1.2544.3%

Monterrey −1.049.9%

Monterrey −0.7555.5%

Monterrey −0.561.1%

Monterrey −0.2566.4%

Monterrey draw no bet (0.0)71.8%

Monterrey +0.2577.1%

Monterrey +0.582.4%

Monterrey +0.7585.2%

Monterrey +1.087.9%

Monterrey +1.593.4%

Monterrey +2.095.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Monterrey win1.64

Draw4.69

FC Juarez win5.69

Over 2.51.59

Under 2.52.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Monterrey wins by more than 1 goals39%

FC Juarez wins by more than 1 goals7%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.