Match summary
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga), 16/08/2026, finished 2-1: Sevilla won. Before the match Jarvis gave Sevilla 38%, the draw 33% and Rayo Vallecano 29%; the actual result had a 38% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Real Madrid (away)Mon 19/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 7% / 14% / 79%
- vs OsasunaTue 27/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Getafe (away)Tue 20/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs ElcheSat 24/10, 19:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
La Liga table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | -3 | 13 |
| ... | ||||
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | -6 | 8 |