Spanish La Liga

Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction

2 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Racing Santander vs Villarreal (La Liga), 16/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Racing Santander 27%, the draw 28% and Villarreal 46%; the actual result had a 28% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Racing Santander
27%
Draw
28%
Villarreal
46%
Actual result: Racing Santander 2 – 2 Villarreal · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 28%
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Racing Santander, negative favours Villarreal) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Racing Santander win3.74
Draw3.64
Villarreal win2.19
Over 2.51.88
Under 2.52.14

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Racing Santander's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
First half
First-half result (Racing Santander / draw / Villarreal)22.5% / 43.2% / 34.3%
A goal in the first half70.4%
Two or more in the first half37.5%
Half-time then full-time
Villarreal lead at half-time then Villarreal win28.1%
Level at half-time then draw16.7%
Level at half-time then Villarreal win16.1%
Corners
Expected total corners9.9
6.5+ corners in the match53%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match57%

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Liverpool (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Valencia (away)Sat 24/10, 23:30 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

La Liga table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona9+3027
2Atletico Madrid9+1122
3Real Betis9+219
...
9Athletic Club7+19
10Villarreal909
11Celta Vigo8+28
...
14Getafe8-68
15Racing Santander8-108
16Osasuna8-108

See the full La Liga table