US MLS

Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF prediction

4 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF (US MLS), 16/08/2026, finished 4-1: Nashville SC won. Before the match Jarvis gave Nashville SC 37%, the draw 26% and Inter Miami CF 37%; the actual result had a 37% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Nashville SC
37%
Draw
26%
Inter Miami CF
37%
Actual result: Nashville SC 4 – 1 Inter Miami CF · Nashville SC winJarvis gave this outcome: 37% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Nashville SC, negative favours Inter Miami CF) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Nashville SC - Inter Miami CF)+0.02
Expected total goals3.25
Expected goals Nashville SC / Inter Miami CF1.63 / 1.61
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.8% / 34.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 84.9%
Over 2.5 goals 63.0%
Over 3.5 goals 40.8%
First half
First-half result (Nashville SC / draw / Inter Miami CF)29.9% / 40.7% / 29.4%
A goal in the first half75.1%
Two or more in the first half44.6%
Half-time then full-time
Nashville SC lead at half-time then Nashville SC win22.6%
Inter Miami CF lead at half-time then Inter Miami CF win22.1%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Nashville SC's side
Nashville SC −2.013.7%
Nashville SC −1.7516.6%
Nashville SC −1.519.4%
Nashville SC −1.2523.9%
Nashville SC −1.028.4%
Nashville SC −0.7532.9%
Nashville SC −0.537.3%
Nashville SC −0.2543.8%
Nashville SC draw no bet (0.0)50.4%
Nashville SC +0.2556.9%
Nashville SC +0.563.4%
Nashville SC +0.7567.8%
Nashville SC +1.072.2%
Nashville SC +1.581.1%
Nashville SC +2.086.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Nashville SC win2.68
Draw3.84
Inter Miami CF win2.73
Over 2.51.59
Under 2.52.70

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Nashville SC wins by more than 1 goals19%
Inter Miami CF wins by more than 1 goals19%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.