Italian Serie B
0'
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0'
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US MLS
0'
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia0
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French Ligue 1
0'
ESTAC TroyesESTAC Troyes0
LensLens0
French Ligue 1
0'
LilleLille0
BrestBrest0
Italian Serie A
0'
RomaRoma0
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Spanish La Liga
0'
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US MLS
03:30 18/10
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New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC prediction

New York Red Bulls
0 – 1
Full-time
Nashville SC

Match summary

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC (US MLS), 20/08/2026, finished 0-1: Nashville SC won. Before the match Jarvis gave New York Red Bulls 33%, the draw 28% and Nashville SC 39%; the actual result had a 39% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
New York Red Bulls
33%
Draw
28%
Nashville SC
39%
Actual result: New York Red Bulls 0 – 1 Nashville SC · Nashville SC winJarvis gave this outcome: 39% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours New York Red Bulls, negative favours Nashville SC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC)-0.12
Expected total goals2.90
Expected goals New York Red Bulls / Nashville SC1.39 / 1.51
Both teams to score (yes / no)60.2% / 39.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.3%
Over 2.5 goals 55.4%
Over 3.5 goals 33.0%
First half
First-half result (New York Red Bulls / draw / Nashville SC)26.6% / 43.5% / 30.0%
A goal in the first half71.1%
Two or more in the first half39.2%
Half-time then full-time
Nashville SC lead at half-time then Nashville SC win23.3%
New York Red Bulls lead at half-time then New York Red Bulls win19.7%
Level at half-time then draw17.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from New York Red Bulls's side
New York Red Bulls −2.010.8%
New York Red Bulls −1.7513.4%
New York Red Bulls −1.515.9%
New York Red Bulls −1.2520.2%
New York Red Bulls −1.024.5%
New York Red Bulls −0.7528.8%
New York Red Bulls −0.533.2%
New York Red Bulls −0.2540.2%
New York Red Bulls draw no bet (0.0)47.3%
New York Red Bulls +0.2554.4%
New York Red Bulls +0.561.4%
New York Red Bulls +0.7566.2%
New York Red Bulls +1.070.9%
New York Red Bulls +1.580.3%
New York Red Bulls +2.086.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
New York Red Bulls win3.02
Draw3.54
Nashville SC win2.59
Over 2.51.81
Under 2.52.24

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
New York Red Bulls wins by more than 1 goals16%
Nashville SC wins by more than 1 goals20%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 20/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.