Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Norway
19%
Draw
21%
France
60%
Actual result: Norway 1 – 4 France · France winJarvis gave this outcome: 60% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Norway, negative favours France) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Norway - France)-0.88
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Norway / France0.81 / 1.69
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.0% / 56.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 69.9%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Norway / draw / France)17.4% / 40.0% / 42.7%
A goal in the first half68.6%
Two or more in the first half29.9%
Half-time then full-time
France lead at half-time then France win36.9%
Level at half-time then France win18.9%
Level at half-time then draw13.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Norway's side
Norway −2.03.3%
Norway −1.754.4%
Norway −1.55.4%
Norway −1.258.9%
Norway −1.012.3%
Norway −0.7515.8%
Norway −0.519.2%
Norway −0.2524.5%
Norway draw no bet (0.0)29.8%
Norway +0.2535.1%
Norway +0.540.4%
Norway +0.7547.2%
Norway +1.054.0%
Norway +1.567.6%
Norway +2.076.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Norway win5.21
Draw4.71
France win1.68
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–1
15.2%
0–2
11.7%
1–1
9.9%
1–2
9.5%
1–0
8.0%
0–0
6.9%
Goal margin
Norway wins by more than 1 goals5%
France wins by more than 1 goals32%