FIFA World Cup
Paraguay vs Australia prediction
Paraguay
0 – 0
Full-time
Australia
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Paraguay
34%
Draw
42%
Australia
24%
Actual result: Paraguay 0 – 0 Australia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 42% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Paraguay, negative favours Australia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Paraguay - Australia)+0.17
Expected total goals1.49
Expected goals Paraguay / Australia0.83 / 0.66
Both teams to score (yes / no)29.7% / 70.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 46.3%
Over 2.5 goals 18.8%
Over 3.5 goals 6.4%
First half
First-half result (Paraguay / draw / Australia)23.2% / 59.3% / 17.6%
A goal in the first half47.7%
Two or more in the first half15.7%
Half-time then full-time
level then draw32.4%
Paraguay ahead then Paraguay win19.3%
level then Paraguay win15.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Paraguay
Paraguay give 2 trái (−2.0)7.6%
Paraguay give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)9.9%
Paraguay give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)12.2%
Paraguay give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)17.7%
Paraguay give 1 trái (−1.0)23.1%
Paraguay give 3/4 trái (−0.75)28.6%
Paraguay give nửa trái (−0.5)34.0%
Paraguay give 1/4 trái (−0.25)44.4%
Level ball (0.0)54.9%
Paraguay receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)65.3%
Paraguay receive nửa trái (+0.5)75.7%
Paraguay receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)79.9%
Paraguay receive 1 trái (+1.0)84.1%
Paraguay receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)92.6%
Paraguay receive 2 trái (+2.0)95.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Paraguay win2.94
Draw2.40
Australia win4.11
Over 2.55.31
Under 2.51.23
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–0
25.0%
1–0
16.2%
1–1
14.8%
0–1
12.5%
2–0
7.7%
2–1
5.1%
Goal margin
Paraguay wins by more than 1 goals12%
Australia wins by more than 1 goals7%