Spanish La Liga

Osasuna vs Getafe prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Osasuna vs Getafe (La Liga), 01/09/2026, finished 1-0: Osasuna won. Before the match Jarvis gave Osasuna 43%, the draw 35% and Getafe 21%; the actual result had a 43% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 1.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Osasuna

43%

Draw

35%

Getafe

21%

Actual result: Osasuna 1 – 0 Getafe · Osasuna winJarvis gave this outcome: 43% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Osasuna, negative favours Getafe) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Osasuna - Getafe)+0.41

Expected total goals1.78

Expected goals Osasuna / Getafe1.09 / 0.69

Both teams to score (yes / no)34.8% / 65.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 54.8%

Over 2.5 goals 26.5%

Over 3.5 goals 10.6%

First half

First-half result (Osasuna / draw / Getafe)29.7% / 53.7% / 16.6%

A goal in the first half54.3%

Two or more in the first half20.1%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw26.2%

Osasuna lead at half-time then Osasuna win25.3%

Level at half-time then Osasuna win17.8%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Osasuna's side

Osasuna −2.012.3%

Osasuna −1.7515.5%

Osasuna −1.518.7%

Osasuna −1.2524.9%

Osasuna −1.031.0%

Osasuna −0.7537.2%

Osasuna −0.543.3%

Osasuna −0.2552.2%

Osasuna draw no bet (0.0)61.0%

Osasuna +0.2569.9%

Osasuna +0.578.7%

Osasuna +0.7582.4%

Osasuna +1.086.2%

Osasuna +1.593.6%

Osasuna +2.096.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Osasuna win2.31

Draw2.82

Getafe win4.70

Over 2.53.78

Under 2.51.36

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Osasuna wins by more than 1 goals19%

Getafe wins by more than 1 goals6%

Corners

Expected total corners8.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Cards

Expected total cards4.3

2.5+ cards in the match43%