Spanish Segunda Division

Oviedo vs Granada prediction

0 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Oviedo vs Granada (Spanish Segunda Division), 16/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Oviedo
47%
Draw
32%
Granada
21%
Actual result: Oviedo 0 – 0 Granada · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 32%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Oviedo, negative favours Granada) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Oviedo - Granada)+0.50
Expected total goals2.09
Expected goals Oviedo / Granada1.30 / 0.79
Both teams to score (yes / no)41.2% / 58.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 63.2%
Over 2.5 goals 34.7%
Over 3.5 goals 15.9%
First half
First-half result (Oviedo / draw / Granada)33.0% / 49.4% / 17.5%
A goal in the first half60.0%
Two or more in the first half25.1%
Half-time then full-time
Oviedo lead at half-time then Oviedo win28.2%
Level at half-time then draw22.0%
Level at half-time then Oviedo win18.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Oviedo's side
Oviedo −2.015.4%
Oviedo −1.7519.0%
Oviedo −1.522.6%
Oviedo −1.2528.7%
Oviedo −1.034.8%
Oviedo −0.7540.9%
Oviedo −0.547.0%
Oviedo −0.2554.9%
Oviedo draw no bet (0.0)62.8%
Oviedo +0.2570.7%
Oviedo +0.578.6%
Oviedo +0.7582.2%
Oviedo +1.085.8%
Oviedo +1.593.0%
Oviedo +2.095.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Oviedo win2.13
Draw3.16
Granada win4.68
Over 2.52.88
Under 2.51.53

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Oviedo wins by more than 1 goals23%
Granada wins by more than 1 goals7%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.