Portuguese Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Porto prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Rio Ave vs Porto (Portuguese Primeira Liga), 16/08/2026, finished 0-2: Porto won. Before the match Jarvis gave Rio Ave 11%, the draw 19% and Porto 70%; the actual result had a 70% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Next for Porto: PSV Eindhoven (Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Rio Ave

11%

Draw

19%

Porto

70%

Actual result: Rio Ave 0 – 2 Porto · Porto winJarvis gave this outcome: 70% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Rio Ave, negative favours Porto) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Rio Ave - Porto)-1.40

Expected total goals2.71

Expected goals Rio Ave / Porto0.65 / 2.06

Both teams to score (yes / no)42.0% / 58.0%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 goals 50.9%

Over 3.5 goals 28.9%

First half

First-half result (Rio Ave / draw / Porto)11.4% / 38.4% / 50.3%

A goal in the first half70.4%

Two or more in the first half34.6%

Half-time then full-time

Porto lead at half-time then Porto win46.4%

Level at half-time then Porto win21.3%

Level at half-time then draw12.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Rio Ave's side

Rio Ave −2.01.6%

Rio Ave −1.752.1%

Rio Ave −1.52.7%

Rio Ave −1.254.7%

Rio Ave −1.06.6%

Rio Ave −0.758.6%

Rio Ave −0.510.6%

Rio Ave −0.2515.4%

Rio Ave draw no bet (0.0)20.2%

Rio Ave +0.2525.1%

Rio Ave +0.529.9%

Rio Ave +0.7536.2%

Rio Ave +1.042.4%

Rio Ave +1.555.0%

Rio Ave +2.065.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Rio Ave win9.46

Draw5.17

Porto win1.43

Over 2.51.96

Under 2.52.04

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Rio Ave wins by more than 1 goals3%

Porto wins by more than 1 goals45%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Porto

vs PSV EindhovenWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs NapoliThu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.