Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Dynamo Kiev
58%
Actual result: Universitatea Cluj 0 – 0 Dynamo Kiev · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 24%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Universitatea Cluj, negative favours Dynamo Kiev) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Universitatea Cluj - Dynamo Kiev)-0.88
Expected total goals2.59
Expected goals Universitatea Cluj / Dynamo Kiev0.85 / 1.73
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.6% / 52.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.4%
Over 2.5 goals 47.9%
Over 3.5 goals 26.1%
First half
First-half result (Universitatea Cluj / draw / Dynamo Kiev)16.5% / 41.8% / 41.7%
A goal in the first half68.5%
Two or more in the first half32.7%
Half-time then full-time
Dynamo Kiev lead at half-time then Dynamo Kiev win36.4%
Level at half-time then Dynamo Kiev win19.2%
Level at half-time then draw15.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Universitatea Cluj's side
Universitatea Cluj −2.03.6%
Universitatea Cluj −1.754.7%
Universitatea Cluj −1.55.8%
Universitatea Cluj −1.258.8%
Universitatea Cluj −1.011.8%
Universitatea Cluj −0.7514.9%
Universitatea Cluj −0.517.9%
Universitatea Cluj −0.2524.0%
Universitatea Cluj draw no bet (0.0)30.0%
Universitatea Cluj +0.2536.1%
Universitatea Cluj +0.542.1%
Universitatea Cluj +0.7548.4%
Universitatea Cluj +1.054.6%
Universitatea Cluj +1.567.1%
Universitatea Cluj +2.076.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Universitatea Cluj win5.58
Draw4.14
Dynamo Kiev win1.73
Over 2.52.09
Under 2.51.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Universitatea Cluj wins by more than 1 goals6%
Dynamo Kiev wins by more than 1 goals33%
