US MLS

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo prediction

0 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo (US MLS), 20/08/2026, finished 0-1: Houston Dynamo won. Before the match Jarvis gave Vancouver Whitecaps 62%, the draw 23% and Houston Dynamo 16%; the actual result had a 16% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Vancouver Whitecaps
62%
Draw
23%
Houston Dynamo
16%
Actual result: Vancouver Whitecaps 0 – 1 Houston Dynamo · Houston Dynamo winJarvis gave this outcome: 16%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Vancouver Whitecaps, negative favours Houston Dynamo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo)+1.06
Expected total goals2.74
Expected goals Vancouver Whitecaps / Houston Dynamo1.90 / 0.84
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.0% / 51.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 76.4%
Over 2.5 goals 51.6%
Over 3.5 goals 29.5%
First half
First-half result (Vancouver Whitecaps / draw / Houston Dynamo)44.6% / 40.4% / 15.1%
A goal in the first half70.4%
Two or more in the first half35.4%
Half-time then full-time
Vancouver Whitecaps lead at half-time then Vancouver Whitecaps win39.7%
Level at half-time then Vancouver Whitecaps win19.8%
Level at half-time then draw14.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Vancouver Whitecaps's side
Vancouver Whitecaps −2.027.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps −1.7532.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps −1.537.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps −1.2543.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps −1.049.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps −0.7555.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps −0.561.7%
Vancouver Whitecaps −0.2567.4%
Vancouver Whitecaps draw no bet (0.0)73.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.2578.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.584.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps +0.7587.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps +1.089.8%
Vancouver Whitecaps +1.595.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps +2.096.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Vancouver Whitecaps win1.62
Draw4.38
Houston Dynamo win6.45
Over 2.51.94
Under 2.52.07

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Vancouver Whitecaps wins by more than 1 goals37%
Houston Dynamo wins by more than 1 goals5%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 20/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.