UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Basaksehir vs FC Inter prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Basaksehir vs FC Inter (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 23/07/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Basaksehir 82%, the draw 12% and FC Inter 6%; the actual result had a 12% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Basaksehir

82%

Draw

12%

FC Inter

Actual result: Basaksehir 1 – 1 FC Inter · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 12%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Basaksehir, negative favours FC Inter) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Basaksehir - FC Inter)+2.13

Expected total goals3.37

Expected goals Basaksehir / FC Inter2.75 / 0.62

Both teams to score (yes / no)43.3% / 56.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.9%

Over 2.5 goals 65.5%

Over 3.5 goals 43.6%

First half

First-half result (Basaksehir / draw / FC Inter)61.6% / 29.9% / 8.5%

A goal in the first half78.2%

Two or more in the first half44.6%

Half-time then full-time

Basaksehir lead at half-time then Basaksehir win58.7%

Level at half-time then Basaksehir win20.1%

Level at half-time then draw7.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Basaksehir's side

Basaksehir −2.050.5%

Basaksehir −1.7556.0%

Basaksehir −1.561.5%

Basaksehir −1.2566.6%

Basaksehir −1.071.7%

Basaksehir −0.7576.8%

Basaksehir −0.581.8%

Basaksehir −0.2584.9%

Basaksehir draw no bet (0.0)87.9%

Basaksehir +0.2590.9%

Basaksehir +0.593.9%

Basaksehir +0.7595.1%

Basaksehir +1.096.3%

Basaksehir +1.598.6%

Basaksehir +2.099.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Basaksehir win1.22

Draw8.27

FC Inter win16.46

Over 2.51.53

Under 2.52.90

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Basaksehir wins by more than 1 goals61%

FC Inter wins by more than 1 goals1%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 23/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.