UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction

3 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris (Europa League), 21/08/2026, finished 3-0: Besiktas won.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Besiktas
90%
Draw
8%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3%
Actual result: Besiktas 3 – 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris · Besiktas winJarvis gave this outcome: 90% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Besiktas, negative favours FK Kauno Zalgiris) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Besiktas - FK Kauno Zalgiris)+2.68
Expected total goals3.42
Expected goals Besiktas / FK Kauno Zalgiris3.05 / 0.37
Both teams to score (yes / no)29.6% / 70.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 85.4%
Over 2.5 goals 66.5%
Over 3.5 goals 44.7%
First half
First-half result (Besiktas / draw / FK Kauno Zalgiris)69.2% / 26.2% / 4.6%
A goal in the first half78.8%
Two or more in the first half45.3%
Half-time then full-time
Besiktas lead at half-time then Besiktas win67.7%
Level at half-time then Besiktas win19.7%
Level at half-time then draw5.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Besiktas's side
Besiktas −2.061.7%
Besiktas −1.7567.1%
Besiktas −1.572.6%
Besiktas −1.2576.8%
Besiktas −1.081.1%
Besiktas −0.7585.3%
Besiktas −0.589.6%
Besiktas −0.2591.5%
Besiktas draw no bet (0.0)93.5%
Besiktas +0.2595.4%
Besiktas +0.597.4%
Besiktas +0.7597.9%
Besiktas +1.098.5%
Besiktas +1.599.6%
Besiktas +2.099.8%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Besiktas win1.12
Draw12.81
FK Kauno Zalgiris win38.14
Over 2.51.50
Under 2.52.98

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals72%
FK Kauno Zalgiris wins by more than 1 goals0%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Crystal PalaceFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Celtic (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Juventus2+66
2Bayer Leverkusen2+66
3Benfica2+56
4Besiktas2+46
5AFC Bournemouth2+46

See the full Europa League table