UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros prediction

Trabzonspor

0 – 1

Full-time

Ferencvaros

Match summary

Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros (Europa League), 21/08/2026, finished 0-1: Ferencvaros won.

Next for Ferencvaros: Torreense (Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Trabzonspor

58%

Draw

25%

Ferencvaros

17%

Actual result: Trabzonspor 0 – 1 Ferencvaros · Ferencvaros winJarvis gave this outcome: 17%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Trabzonspor, negative favours Ferencvaros) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Trabzonspor - Ferencvaros)+0.90

Expected total goals2.63

Expected goals Trabzonspor / Ferencvaros1.77 / 0.87

Both teams to score (yes / no)49.2% / 50.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 75.0%

Over 2.5 goals 49.0%

Over 3.5 goals 27.1%

First half

First-half result (Trabzonspor / draw / Ferencvaros)41.4% / 42.7% / 15.9%

A goal in the first half68.5%

Two or more in the first half34.1%

Half-time then full-time

Trabzonspor lead at half-time then Trabzonspor win36.5%

Level at half-time then Trabzonspor win19.5%

Level at half-time then draw16.2%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Trabzonspor's side

Trabzonspor −2.024.4%

Trabzonspor −1.7528.9%

Trabzonspor −1.533.4%

Trabzonspor −1.2539.5%

Trabzonspor −1.045.5%

Trabzonspor −0.7551.5%

Trabzonspor −0.557.6%

Trabzonspor −0.2563.9%

Trabzonspor draw no bet (0.0)70.2%

Trabzonspor +0.2576.6%

Trabzonspor +0.582.9%

Trabzonspor +0.7585.8%

Trabzonspor +1.088.6%

Trabzonspor +1.594.2%

Trabzonspor +2.096.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Trabzonspor win1.74

Draw3.94

Ferencvaros win5.86

Over 2.52.04

Under 2.51.96

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Trabzonspor wins by more than 1 goals33%

Ferencvaros wins by more than 1 goals6%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ferencvaros

vs TorreenseThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs AC Milan (away)Fri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	2	+6	6
2	Bayer Leverkusen	2	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	+5	6
...
6	Omonia Nicosia	2	+4	6
7	Ferencvaros	2	+3	6
8	Lyon	2	+2	6

See the full Europa League table