UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Lillestrom prediction
0 – 0
Full-timeMatch summary
Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Lillestrom (Europa League), 21/08/2026, finished 0-0: a draw.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Egnatia Rrogozhine
28%
Draw
32%
Lillestrom
40%
Actual result: Egnatia Rrogozhine 0 – 0 Lillestrom · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 32%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Egnatia Rrogozhine, negative favours Lillestrom) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Egnatia Rrogozhine - Lillestrom)-0.24
Expected total goals2.26
Expected goals Egnatia Rrogozhine / Lillestrom1.01 / 1.25
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.0% / 53.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 67.7%
Over 2.5 goals 39.4%
Over 3.5 goals 19.3%
First half
First-half result (Egnatia Rrogozhine / draw / Lillestrom)22.2% / 48.3% / 29.5%
A goal in the first half62.7%
Two or more in the first half28.2%
Half-time then full-time
Lillestrom lead at half-time then Lillestrom win23.9%
Level at half-time then draw21.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhine lead at half-time then Egnatia Rrogozhine win16.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Egnatia Rrogozhine's side
Egnatia Rrogozhine −2.07.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −1.759.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −1.511.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −1.2515.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −1.019.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −0.7523.9%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −0.528.2%
Egnatia Rrogozhine −0.2536.1%
Egnatia Rrogozhine draw no bet (0.0)44.0%
Egnatia Rrogozhine +0.2551.9%
Egnatia Rrogozhine +0.559.8%
Egnatia Rrogozhine +0.7565.2%
Egnatia Rrogozhine +1.070.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhine +1.581.4%
Egnatia Rrogozhine +2.087.5%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Egnatia Rrogozhine win3.55
Draw3.16
Lillestrom win2.49
Over 2.52.54
Under 2.51.65
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Egnatia Rrogozhine wins by more than 1 goals11%
Lillestrom wins by more than 1 goals19%
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Real SociedadFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
- vs Viktoria PlzenFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)
- Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves02:00 · La Liga1–1
- Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros00:00 · Europa League0–1
- Lech Poznan vs Thun00:00 · Europa League7–0
- Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris00:00 · Europa League3–0
- Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen01:00 · Europa League3–0
- Benfica vs AGF02:00 · Europa League3–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Europa League table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| ... | ||||
| 21 | RB Salzburg | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lillestrom | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 | Real Sociedad | 2 | -1 | 1 |