Match summary
Benfica vs AGF (Europa League), 21/08/2026, finished 3-1: Benfica won. Before the match Jarvis gave Benfica 85%, the draw 10% and AGF 5%; the actual result had a 85% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 3-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.6.
Outcome probability
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Omonia Nicosia (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
- vs Lech PoznanFri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)
- Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves02:00 · La Liga1–1
- Trabzonspor vs Ferencvaros00:00 · Europa League0–1
- Lech Poznan vs Thun00:00 · Europa League7–0
- Besiktas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris00:00 · Europa League3–0
- Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Lillestrom00:00 · Europa League0–0
- Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen01:00 · Europa League3–0
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Europa League table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 2 | +4 | 6 |