UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Bohemians vs KF Ballkani prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Bohemians vs KF Ballkani (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 23/07/2026, finished 2-1: Bohemians won. Before the match Jarvis gave Bohemians 62%, the draw 23% and KF Ballkani 15%; the actual result had a 62% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Bohemians

62%

Draw

23%

KF Ballkani

15%

Actual result: Bohemians 2 – 1 KF Ballkani · Bohemians winJarvis gave this outcome: 62% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bohemians, negative favours KF Ballkani) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Bohemians - KF Ballkani)+1.03

Expected total goals2.52

Expected goals Bohemians / KF Ballkani1.78 / 0.75

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.0% / 56.0%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 72.1%

Over 2.5 goals 46.2%

Over 3.5 goals 24.8%

First half

First-half result (Bohemians / draw / KF Ballkani)43.9% / 41.9% / 14.2%

A goal in the first half67.6%

Two or more in the first half31.7%

Half-time then full-time

Bohemians lead at half-time then Bohemians win39.3%

Level at half-time then Bohemians win20.3%

Level at half-time then draw15.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Bohemians's side

Bohemians −2.026.4%

Bohemians −1.7531.2%

Bohemians −1.536.0%

Bohemians −1.2542.5%

Bohemians −1.048.9%

Bohemians −0.7555.3%

Bohemians −0.561.7%

Bohemians −0.2567.6%

Bohemians draw no bet (0.0)73.4%

Bohemians +0.2579.3%

Bohemians +0.585.1%

Bohemians +0.7587.8%

Bohemians +1.090.4%

Bohemians +1.595.7%

Bohemians +2.097.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Bohemians win1.62

Draw4.27

KF Ballkani win6.73

Over 2.52.16

Under 2.51.86

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Bohemians wins by more than 1 goals36%

KF Ballkani wins by more than 1 goals4%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 23/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.