UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers

Braga vs Austria Wien prediction

2 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Braga vs Austria Wien (UEFA Europa Conference Qualifiers), 21/08/2026, finished 2-0: Braga won. Before the match Jarvis gave Braga 68%, the draw 21% and Austria Wien 11%; the actual result had a 68% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.5.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Braga
68%
Draw
21%
Austria Wien
11%
Actual result: Braga 2 – 0 Austria Wien · Braga winJarvis gave this outcome: 68% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Braga, negative favours Austria Wien) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Braga - Austria Wien)+1.28
Expected total goals2.54
Expected goals Braga / Austria Wien1.91 / 0.63
Both teams to score (yes / no)40.0% / 60.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.4%
Over 2.5 goals 46.7%
Over 3.5 goals 25.1%
First half
First-half result (Braga / draw / Austria Wien)48.0% / 40.6% / 11.4%
A goal in the first half67.9%
Two or more in the first half31.9%
Half-time then full-time
Braga lead at half-time then Braga win44.1%
Level at half-time then Braga win21.6%
Level at half-time then draw14.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Braga's side
Braga −2.031.3%
Braga −1.7536.6%
Braga −1.541.9%
Braga −1.2548.4%
Braga −1.054.8%
Braga −0.7561.3%
Braga −0.567.8%
Braga −0.2573.0%
Braga draw no bet (0.0)78.3%
Braga +0.2583.6%
Braga +0.588.9%
Braga +0.7591.0%
Braga +1.093.1%
Braga +1.597.2%
Braga +2.098.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Braga win1.48
Draw4.73
Austria Wien win9.02
Over 2.52.14
Under 2.51.88

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Braga wins by more than 1 goals42%
Austria Wien wins by more than 1 goals3%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 21/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.