Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Curaçao
6%
Draw
11%
Ivory Coast
83%
Actual result: Curaçao 0 – 2 Ivory Coast · Ivory Coast winJarvis gave this outcome: 83% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Curaçao, negative favours Ivory Coast) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Curaçao - Ivory Coast)-2.02
Expected total goals2.88
Expected goals Curaçao / Ivory Coast0.43 / 2.45
Both teams to score (yes / no)30.6% / 69.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.0%
Over 2.5 goals 54.9%
Over 3.5 goals 32.6%
First half
First-half result (Curaçao / draw / Ivory Coast)7.6% / 31.2% / 61.2%
A goal in the first half73.8%
Two or more in the first half36.0%
Half-time then full-time
Ivory Coast lead at half-time then Ivory Coast win58.4%
Level at half-time then Ivory Coast win21.0%
Level at half-time then draw7.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Curaçao's side
Curaçao −2.00.5%
Curaçao −1.750.6%
Curaçao −1.50.8%
Curaçao −1.252.1%
Curaçao −1.03.4%
Curaçao −0.754.6%
Curaçao −0.55.9%
Curaçao −0.258.6%
Curaçao draw no bet (0.0)11.4%
Curaçao +0.2514.1%
Curaçao +0.516.8%
Curaçao +0.7522.7%
Curaçao +1.028.6%
Curaçao +1.540.4%
Curaçao +2.052.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Curaçao win16.91
Draw9.18
Ivory Coast win1.20
Over 2.51.82
Under 2.52.22
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–2
16.9%
0–1
15.0%
0–3
13.8%
0–4
8.4%
1–2
7.2%
1–3
5.9%
Goal margin
Curaçao wins by more than 1 goals1%
Ivory Coast wins by more than 1 goals60%