Spanish La Liga

Elche vs Barcelona prediction

0 – 5

Full-time

Match summary

Elche vs Barcelona (La Liga), 24/08/2026, finished 0-5: Barcelona won. Before the match Jarvis gave Elche 10%, the draw 17% and Barcelona 72%; the actual result had a 72% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Elche

10%

Draw

17%

Barcelona

72%

Actual result: Elche 0 – 5 Barcelona · Barcelona winJarvis gave this outcome: 72% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Elche, negative favours Barcelona) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Elche - Barcelona)-1.59

Expected total goals3.18

Expected goals Elche / Barcelona0.80 / 2.39

Both teams to score (yes / no)50.1% / 49.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 83.0%

Over 2.5 goals 61.7%

Over 3.5 goals 39.4%

First half

First-half result (Elche / draw / Barcelona)11.9% / 34.7% / 53.5%

A goal in the first half75.8%

Two or more in the first half42.3%

Half-time then full-time

Barcelona lead at half-time then Barcelona win49.4%

Level at half-time then Barcelona win20.3%

Level at half-time then draw10.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Elche's side

Elche −2.01.8%

Elche −1.752.4%

Elche −1.53.0%

Elche −1.254.8%

Elche −1.06.7%

Elche −0.758.5%

Elche −0.510.3%

Elche −0.2514.6%

Elche draw no bet (0.0)18.9%

Elche +0.2523.2%

Elche +0.527.5%

Elche +0.7533.2%

Elche +1.038.8%

Elche +1.550.0%

Elche +2.060.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Elche win9.70

Draw5.81

Barcelona win1.38

Over 2.51.62

Under 2.52.61

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Elche wins by more than 1 goals3%

Barcelona wins by more than 1 goals50%

Corners

Expected total corners9.7

6.5+ corners in the match50%

Cards

Expected total cards3.4

2.5+ cards in the match45%