French Ligue 1

Rennes vs Paris St-G prediction

2 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Rennes vs Paris St-G (Ligue 1), 24/08/2026, finished 2-2: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Rennes 15%, the draw 20% and Paris St-G 65%; the actual result had a 20% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Next for Paris St-G: Barcelona (Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Rennes

15%

Draw

20%

Paris St-G

65%

Actual result: Rennes 2 – 2 Paris St-G · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 20%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Rennes, negative favours Paris St-G) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Rennes - Paris St-G)-1.25

Expected total goals3.24

Expected goals Rennes / Paris St-G0.99 / 2.24

Both teams to score (yes / no)56.9% / 43.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 84.0%

Over 2.5 goals 62.8%

Over 3.5 goals 40.6%

First half

First-half result (Rennes / draw / Paris St-G)15.4% / 36.5% / 48.1%

A goal in the first half76.0%

Two or more in the first half43.5%

Half-time then full-time

Paris St-G lead at half-time then Paris St-G win43.1%

Level at half-time then Paris St-G win19.2%

Level at half-time then draw11.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Rennes's side

Rennes −2.03.3%

Rennes −1.754.3%

Rennes −1.55.2%

Rennes −1.257.6%

Rennes −1.010.0%

Rennes −0.7512.5%

Rennes −0.514.9%

Rennes −0.2519.9%

Rennes draw no bet (0.0)24.9%

Rennes +0.2530.0%

Rennes +0.535.0%

Rennes +0.7540.6%

Rennes +1.046.2%

Rennes +1.557.5%

Rennes +2.067.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Rennes win6.73

Draw4.96

Paris St-G win1.54

Over 2.51.59

Under 2.52.69

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Rennes wins by more than 1 goals5%

Paris St-G wins by more than 1 goals43%

Corners

Expected total corners10.1

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards1.7

2.5+ cards in the match25%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Paris St-G

vs BarcelonaWed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LyonMon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 24/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	+5	14
2	Lille	7	+5	14
3	AS Monaco	6	+5	14

See the full Ligue 1 table