Spanish La Liga

Getafe vs Racing Santander prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Getafe vs Racing Santander (La Liga), 24/08/2026, finished 1-0: Getafe won. Before the match Jarvis gave Getafe 41%, the draw 32% and Racing Santander 27%; the actual result had a 41% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.3.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Getafe

41%

Draw

32%

Racing Santander

27%

Actual result: Getafe 1 – 0 Racing Santander · Getafe winJarvis gave this outcome: 41% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Getafe, negative favours Racing Santander) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Getafe - Racing Santander)+0.28

Expected total goals2.32

Expected goals Getafe / Racing Santander1.30 / 1.02

Both teams to score (yes / no)48.7% / 51.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 69.6%

Over 2.5 goals 40.9%

Over 3.5 goals 20.4%

First half

First-half result (Getafe / draw / Racing Santander)29.9% / 48.6% / 21.5%

A goal in the first half63.1%

Two or more in the first half29.6%

Half-time then full-time

Getafe lead at half-time then Getafe win24.5%

Level at half-time then draw21.5%

Level at half-time then Getafe win15.9%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Getafe's side

Getafe −2.013.3%

Getafe −1.7516.5%

Getafe −1.519.6%

Getafe −1.2524.9%

Getafe −1.030.2%

Getafe −0.7535.5%

Getafe −0.540.7%

Getafe −0.2548.8%

Getafe draw no bet (0.0)56.9%

Getafe +0.2565.0%

Getafe +0.573.1%

Getafe +0.7577.1%

Getafe +1.081.1%

Getafe +1.589.2%

Getafe +2.093.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Getafe win2.45

Draw3.09

Racing Santander win3.72

Over 2.52.45

Under 2.51.69

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Getafe wins by more than 1 goals20%

Racing Santander wins by more than 1 goals11%

Corners

Expected total corners8.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Cards

Expected total cards5.2

2.5+ cards in the match42%