Italian Serie A

Torino vs AC Milan prediction

1 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

Torino vs AC Milan (Serie A), 24/08/2026, finished 1-2: AC Milan won. Before the match Jarvis gave Torino 21%, the draw 29% and AC Milan 51%; the actual result had a 51% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.4.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Torino

21%

Draw

29%

AC Milan

51%

Actual result: Torino 1 – 2 AC Milan · AC Milan winJarvis gave this outcome: 51% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Torino, negative favours AC Milan) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Torino - AC Milan)-0.62

Expected total goals2.39

Expected goals Torino / AC Milan0.88 / 1.50

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.9% / 53.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 70.1%

Over 2.5 goals 42.7%

Over 3.5 goals 21.9%

First half

First-half result (Torino / draw / AC Milan)17.9% / 45.9% / 36.2%

A goal in the first half64.9%

Two or more in the first half30.1%

Half-time then full-time

AC Milan lead at half-time then AC Milan win31.0%

Level at half-time then draw18.8%

Level at half-time then AC Milan win18.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Torino's side

Torino −2.04.6%

Torino −1.755.9%

Torino −1.57.3%

Torino −1.2510.7%

Torino −1.014.1%

Torino −0.7517.5%

Torino −0.520.9%

Torino −0.2528.0%

Torino draw no bet (0.0)35.2%

Torino +0.2542.3%

Torino +0.549.5%

Torino +0.7555.5%

Torino +1.061.5%

Torino +1.573.5%

Torino +2.081.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Torino win4.79

Draw3.49

AC Milan win1.98

Over 2.52.34

Under 2.51.74

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Torino wins by more than 1 goals7%

AC Milan wins by more than 1 goals26%

Corners

Expected total corners8.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Cards

Expected total cards1.7

2.5+ cards in the match24%