UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray vs Barcelona prediction
02:00, 14/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Galatasaray
9%
Draw
13%
Barcelona
78%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Galatasaray, negative favours Barcelona) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Galatasaray - Barcelona)-1.97
Expected total goals3.88
Expected goals Galatasaray / Barcelona0.95 / 2.92
Both teams to score (yes / no)57.9% / 42.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 89.7%
Over 2.5 goals 74.3%
Over 3.5 goals 54.2%
First half
First-half result (Galatasaray / draw / Barcelona)12.3% / 28.2% / 59.5%
A goal in the first half82.8%
Two or more in the first half51.7%
Half-time then full-time
Barcelona lead at half-time then Barcelona win55.3%
Level at half-time then Barcelona win18.1%
Level at half-time then draw6.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Galatasaray's side
Galatasaray −2.01.8%
Galatasaray −1.752.4%
Galatasaray −1.52.9%
Galatasaray −1.254.5%
Galatasaray −1.06.2%
Galatasaray −0.757.8%
Galatasaray −0.59.4%
Galatasaray −0.2512.7%
Galatasaray draw no bet (0.0)15.9%
Galatasaray +0.2519.1%
Galatasaray +0.522.4%
Galatasaray +0.7527.3%
Galatasaray +1.032.2%
Galatasaray +1.542.0%
Galatasaray +2.052.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Galatasaray win10.62
Draw7.72
Barcelona win1.29
Over 2.51.35
Under 2.53.89
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Galatasaray wins by more than 1 goals3%
Barcelona wins by more than 1 goals58%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match48%
Cards
Expected total cards3.2
2.5+ cards in the match39%