Outcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
RB Leipzig
56%
Draw
21%
PSV
23%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours RB Leipzig, negative favours PSV) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (RB Leipzig - PSV)+0.82
Expected total goals3.57
Expected goals RB Leipzig / PSV2.19 / 1.37
Both teams to score (yes / no)66.7% / 33.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 goals 69.1%
Over 3.5 goals 47.8%
First half
First-half result (RB Leipzig / draw / PSV)42.7% / 35.6% / 21.7%
A goal in the first half79.3%
Two or more in the first half48.3%
Half-time then full-time
RB Leipzig lead at half-time then RB Leipzig win36.0%
Level at half-time then RB Leipzig win16.4%
PSV lead at half-time then PSV win13.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from RB Leipzig's side
RB Leipzig −2.026.2%
RB Leipzig −1.7530.4%
RB Leipzig −1.534.6%
RB Leipzig −1.2539.9%
RB Leipzig −1.045.2%
RB Leipzig −0.7550.5%
RB Leipzig −0.555.8%
RB Leipzig −0.2561.1%
RB Leipzig draw no bet (0.0)66.3%
RB Leipzig +0.2571.6%
RB Leipzig +0.576.9%
RB Leipzig +0.7580.2%
RB Leipzig +1.083.5%
RB Leipzig +1.590.0%
RB Leipzig +2.093.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
RB Leipzig win1.79
Draw4.72
PSV win4.34
Over 2.51.45
Under 2.53.24
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
RB Leipzig wins by more than 1 goals35%
PSV wins by more than 1 goals10%
Corners
Expected total corners10.1
6.5+ corners in the match55%
Cards
Expected total cards3.2
2.5+ cards in the match39%