Turkish Super League

Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce prediction

2 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce (Turkish Super League), 16/08/2026, finished 2-1: Genclerbirligi won. Before the match Jarvis gave Genclerbirligi 13%, the draw 23% and Fenerbahce 64%; the actual result had a 13% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Next for Fenerbahce: Slavia Prague (Tue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Genclerbirligi

13%

Draw

23%

Fenerbahce

64%

Actual result: Genclerbirligi 2 – 1 Fenerbahce · Genclerbirligi winJarvis gave this outcome: 13%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Genclerbirligi, negative favours Fenerbahce) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Genclerbirligi - Fenerbahce)-1.16

Expected total goals2.70

Expected goals Genclerbirligi / Fenerbahce0.77 / 1.93

Both teams to score (yes / no)46.8% / 53.2%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 76.0%

Over 2.5 goals 50.7%

Over 3.5 goals 28.6%

First half

First-half result (Genclerbirligi / draw / Fenerbahce)13.3% / 40.8% / 45.9%

A goal in the first half69.6%

Two or more in the first half35.1%

Half-time then full-time

Fenerbahce lead at half-time then Fenerbahce win41.6%

Level at half-time then Fenerbahce win20.6%

Level at half-time then draw14.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Genclerbirligi's side

Genclerbirligi −2.02.5%

Genclerbirligi −1.753.3%

Genclerbirligi −1.54.0%

Genclerbirligi −1.256.3%

Genclerbirligi −1.08.6%

Genclerbirligi −0.7510.9%

Genclerbirligi −0.513.2%

Genclerbirligi −0.2518.9%

Genclerbirligi draw no bet (0.0)24.6%

Genclerbirligi +0.2530.3%

Genclerbirligi +0.536.0%

Genclerbirligi +0.7542.1%

Genclerbirligi +1.048.2%

Genclerbirligi +1.560.5%

Genclerbirligi +2.070.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Genclerbirligi win7.56

Draw4.38

Fenerbahce win1.56

Over 2.51.97

Under 2.52.03

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Genclerbirligi wins by more than 1 goals4%

Fenerbahce wins by more than 1 goals40%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Fenerbahce

vs Slavia PragueTue 20/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs LiverpoolThu 05/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.