Israeli Toto Cup Leumit

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

00:30, 16/08

GMT+7

Result not verified

Match summary

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (Israeli Toto Cup Leumit), 16/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet. Before the match Jarvis gave Hapoel Haifa 53%, the draw 23% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 24%.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Hapoel Haifa

53%

Draw

23%

Hapoel Beer Sheva

24%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hapoel Haifa, negative favours Hapoel Beer Sheva) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva)+0.73

Expected total goals3.47

Expected goals Hapoel Haifa / Hapoel Beer Sheva2.10 / 1.37

Both teams to score (yes / no)66.7% / 33.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 87.4%

Over 2.5 goals 67.4%

Over 3.5 goals 45.8%

First half

First-half result (Hapoel Haifa / draw / Hapoel Beer Sheva)40.2% / 38.5% / 21.3%

A goal in the first half77.3%

Two or more in the first half48.0%

Half-time then full-time

Hapoel Haifa lead at half-time then Hapoel Haifa win33.9%

Level at half-time then Hapoel Haifa win16.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva lead at half-time then Hapoel Beer Sheva win13.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Hapoel Haifa's side

Hapoel Haifa −2.024.4%

Hapoel Haifa −1.7528.5%

Hapoel Haifa −1.532.6%

Hapoel Haifa −1.2537.7%

Hapoel Haifa −1.042.8%

Hapoel Haifa −0.7547.9%

Hapoel Haifa −0.553.0%

Hapoel Haifa −0.2558.9%

Hapoel Haifa draw no bet (0.0)64.8%

Hapoel Haifa +0.2570.6%

Hapoel Haifa +0.576.5%

Hapoel Haifa +0.7579.7%

Hapoel Haifa +1.082.9%

Hapoel Haifa +1.589.4%

Hapoel Haifa +2.092.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Hapoel Haifa win1.89

Draw4.26

Hapoel Beer Sheva win4.26

Over 2.51.48

Under 2.53.07

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Hapoel Haifa wins by more than 1 goals33%

Hapoel Beer Sheva wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.