US MLS

Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy prediction

1 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy (US MLS), 16/08/2026, finished 1-0: Houston Dynamo won. Before the match Jarvis gave Houston Dynamo 59%, the draw 24% and LA Galaxy 17%; the actual result had a 59% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Houston Dynamo
59%
Draw
24%
LA Galaxy
17%
Actual result: Houston Dynamo 1 – 0 LA Galaxy · Houston Dynamo winJarvis gave this outcome: 59% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Houston Dynamo, negative favours LA Galaxy) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Houston Dynamo - LA Galaxy)+0.96
Expected total goals2.88
Expected goals Houston Dynamo / LA Galaxy1.92 / 0.96
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.7% / 46.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.3%
Over 2.5 goals 55.0%
Over 3.5 goals 32.7%
First half
First-half result (Houston Dynamo / draw / LA Galaxy)43.0% / 40.6% / 16.4%
A goal in the first half71.6%
Two or more in the first half38.3%
Half-time then full-time
Houston Dynamo lead at half-time then Houston Dynamo win37.8%
Level at half-time then Houston Dynamo win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw14.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Houston Dynamo's side
Houston Dynamo −2.026.5%
Houston Dynamo −1.7531.1%
Houston Dynamo −1.535.7%
Houston Dynamo −1.2541.5%
Houston Dynamo −1.047.3%
Houston Dynamo −0.7553.1%
Houston Dynamo −0.558.9%
Houston Dynamo −0.2564.9%
Houston Dynamo draw no bet (0.0)70.8%
Houston Dynamo +0.2576.8%
Houston Dynamo +0.582.7%
Houston Dynamo +0.7585.5%
Houston Dynamo +1.088.3%
Houston Dynamo +1.593.8%
Houston Dynamo +2.096.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Houston Dynamo win1.70
Draw4.19
LA Galaxy win5.80
Over 2.51.82
Under 2.52.22

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Houston Dynamo wins by more than 1 goals36%
LA Galaxy wins by more than 1 goals6%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 16/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.