UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas prediction
0 – 1
Full-timeMatch summary
Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas (Europa League), 07/08/2026, finished 0-1: Besiktas won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Hradec Kralove
18%
Draw
26%
Besiktas
56%
Actual result: Hradec Kralove 0 – 1 Besiktas · Besiktas winJarvis gave this outcome: 56% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hradec Kralove, negative favours Besiktas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Hradec Kralove - Besiktas)-0.82
Expected total goals2.59
Expected goals Hradec Kralove / Besiktas0.88 / 1.71
Both teams to score (yes / no)49.3% / 50.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.3%
Over 2.5 goals 48.0%
Over 3.5 goals 26.2%
First half
First-half result (Hradec Kralove / draw / Besiktas)16.5% / 43.5% / 40.0%
A goal in the first half67.8%
Two or more in the first half33.5%
Half-time then full-time
Besiktas lead at half-time then Besiktas win35.0%
Level at half-time then Besiktas win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw16.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Hradec Kralove's side
Hradec Kralove −2.03.9%
Hradec Kralove −1.755.1%
Hradec Kralove −1.56.3%
Hradec Kralove −1.259.2%
Hradec Kralove −1.012.2%
Hradec Kralove −0.7515.2%
Hradec Kralove −0.518.1%
Hradec Kralove −0.2524.7%
Hradec Kralove draw no bet (0.0)31.2%
Hradec Kralove +0.2537.8%
Hradec Kralove +0.544.4%
Hradec Kralove +0.7550.4%
Hradec Kralove +1.056.4%
Hradec Kralove +1.568.4%
Hradec Kralove +2.077.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Hradec Kralove win5.52
Draw3.81
Besiktas win1.80
Over 2.52.08
Under 2.51.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Hradec Kralove wins by more than 1 goals6%
Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals32%
Probability trajectory · full match
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Crystal PalaceFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
- vs Celtic (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)
- Lech Poznan vs Klaksvikar Itrottarfelag00:00 · Europa League1–0
- Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos FC00:00 · Europa League1–0
- PAOK vs Anderlecht00:45 · Europa League0–1
- Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik01:00 · Europa League3–0
- Benfica vs Hearts02:00 · Europa League6–1
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Europa League table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 | Benfica | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth | 2 | +4 | 6 |