UEFA Europa League Qualifiers

PAOK vs Anderlecht prediction

0 – 1
Full-time

Match summary

PAOK vs Anderlecht (Europa League), 07/08/2026, finished 0-1: Anderlecht won. Before the match Jarvis gave PAOK 57%, the draw 25% and Anderlecht 18%; the actual result had a 18% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 2.7.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
PAOK
57%
Draw
25%
Anderlecht
18%
Actual result: PAOK 0 – 1 Anderlecht · Anderlecht winJarvis gave this outcome: 18%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours PAOK, negative favours Anderlecht) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (PAOK - Anderlecht)+0.89
Expected total goals2.71
Expected goals PAOK / Anderlecht1.80 / 0.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.7% / 49.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 76.1%
Over 2.5 goals 50.8%
Over 3.5 goals 28.8%
First half
First-half result (PAOK / draw / Anderlecht)41.6% / 41.8% / 16.6%
A goal in the first half69.6%
Two or more in the first half35.2%
Half-time then full-time
PAOK lead at half-time then PAOK win36.5%
Level at half-time then PAOK win19.1%
Level at half-time then draw15.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from PAOK's side
PAOK −2.024.5%
PAOK −1.7529.0%
PAOK −1.533.5%
PAOK −1.2539.5%
PAOK −1.045.5%
PAOK −0.7551.5%
PAOK −0.557.5%
PAOK −0.2563.7%
PAOK draw no bet (0.0)69.8%
PAOK +0.2576.0%
PAOK +0.582.2%
PAOK +0.7585.1%
PAOK +1.088.0%
PAOK +1.593.9%
PAOK +2.096.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
PAOK win1.74
Draw4.05
Anderlecht win5.60
Over 2.51.97
Under 2.52.03

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
PAOK wins by more than 1 goals33%
Anderlecht wins by more than 1 goals6%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Jagiellonia Bialystok (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs RB SalzburgFri 06/11, 00:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 07/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Europa League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Juventus2+66
2Bayer Leverkusen2+66
3Benfica2+56
...
27NEC Nijmegen2-51
28Anderlecht2-20
29Celta Vigo2-20

See the full Europa League table