English Football League Cup

Ipswich vs Leicester prediction

3 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Ipswich vs Leicester (English Football League Cup), 26/08/2026, finished 3-1: Ipswich won. Before the match Jarvis gave Ipswich 65%, the draw 21% and Leicester 14%; the actual result had a 65% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 4 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Next for Ipswich: Manchester City (Sat 17/10, 21:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Ipswich

65%

Draw

21%

Leicester

14%

Actual result: Ipswich 3 – 1 Leicester · Ipswich winJarvis gave this outcome: 65% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ipswich, negative favours Leicester) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Ipswich - Leicester)+1.23

Expected total goals3.03

Expected goals Ipswich / Leicester2.13 / 0.90

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.9% / 47.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 81.1%

Over 2.5 goals 58.4%

Over 3.5 goals 36.0%

First half

First-half result (Ipswich / draw / Leicester)47.7% / 37.8% / 14.6%

A goal in the first half73.8%

Two or more in the first half40.2%

Half-time then full-time

Ipswich lead at half-time then Ipswich win42.9%

Level at half-time then Ipswich win19.7%

Level at half-time then draw12.4%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Ipswich's side

Ipswich −2.031.9%

Ipswich −1.7536.8%

Ipswich −1.541.8%

Ipswich −1.2547.6%

Ipswich −1.053.4%

Ipswich −0.7559.3%

Ipswich −0.565.1%

Ipswich −0.2570.3%

Ipswich draw no bet (0.0)75.4%

Ipswich +0.2580.6%

Ipswich +0.585.8%

Ipswich +0.7588.2%

Ipswich +1.090.6%

Ipswich +1.595.3%

Ipswich +2.097.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Ipswich win1.54

Draw4.82

Leicester win7.06

Over 2.51.71

Under 2.52.40

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Ipswich wins by more than 1 goals42%

Leicester wins by more than 1 goals5%

Corners

Expected total corners10.3

6.5+ corners in the match45%

Cards

Expected total cards2.0

2.5+ cards in the match32%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Ipswich

vs Manchester City (away)Sat 17/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27Jarvis win / draw / loss: 9% / 13% / 78%
vs Nottingham ForestSat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 26/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.